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Red80
30813.6
21712.9
2744.3
Blue40
656611.4
118818.7
20110.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions783302040601001208040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#1
44.30.4
39.639.2
Auto15.3
Teleop25.8
End3.1
red by 25.6
1188
#14
18.70.3
17.918.2
Auto8.9
Teleop8.0
End1.8
Second
308
#13
13.60.4
12.712.3
Auto5.0
Teleop6.4
End2.2
red by 2.1
6566
#39
11.40.5
9.710.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End1.3
Third
217
#16
12.90.4
13.112.8
Auto4.3
Teleop7.9
End0.6
red by 2.4
201
#41
10.40.3
7.88.2
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed