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Red29
296019.7
75972.7
96796.2
Blue10
52253.6
118818.7
50467.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324001020506070802910

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2960
#18
19.70.7
19.518.8
Auto7.1
Teleop9.1
End3.5
red by 1.0
1188
#14
18.71.7
21.019.3
Auto8.9
Teleop8.0
End1.8
Second
9679
#33
6.21.0
7.56.5
Auto2.4
Teleop3.8
End-0.0
blue by 1.3
5046
#40
7.51.7
8.66.9
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End0.0
Third
7597
#36
2.71.0
2.92.0
Auto1.0
Teleop0.4
End1.3
blue by 0.9
5225
#32
3.62.2
5.63.4
Auto0.9
Teleop2.7
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed