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Red108
543635.5
961815.4
776221.3
Blue9
43841.6
653210.1
88265.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions791202040601001201401089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.52.3
31.734.0
Auto13.3
Teleop18.7
End3.4
red by 25.4
6532
#30
10.10.8
11.410.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End0.3
Second
7762
#12
21.32.8
19.622.4
Auto6.0
Teleop13.5
End1.8
red by 15.9
8826
#27
5.50.8
6.45.6
Auto3.3
Teleop1.8
End0.4
Third
9618
#28
15.42.3
12.214.5
Auto2.7
Teleop11.0
End1.7
red by 13.9
4384
#34
1.60.7
1.40.7
Auto0.2
Teleop0.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed