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Red43
656710.2
171827.4
75972.7
Blue72
24721.7
124.1
955813.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4064020801004372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
#21
27.40.3
27.227.5
Auto9.1
Teleop16.7
End1.6
red by 3.4
1
#20
24.10.5
23.023.5
Auto10.7
Teleop11.3
End2.1
Second
6567
#35
10.20.3
9.710.0
Auto5.1
Teleop3.8
End1.3
blue by 11.5
247
#9
21.70.5
19.119.6
Auto8.3
Teleop10.6
End2.8
Third
7597
#36
2.70.3
2.02.3
Auto1.0
Teleop0.4
End1.3
blue by 10.3
9558
#19
13.00.6
12.713.3
Auto3.5
Teleop9.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed