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Red68
46922.9
52253.6
2744.3
Blue53
50467.5
296019.7
22626.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions785302040601001201406853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#1
44.30.1
43.142.9
Auto15.3
Teleop25.8
End3.1
red by 18.1
226
#8
26.10.1
25.625.7
Auto10.5
Teleop14.5
End1.1
Second
469
#17
22.90.1
21.621.4
Auto5.0
Teleop16.1
End1.9
red by 3.2
2960
#18
19.70.1
18.818.9
Auto7.1
Teleop9.1
End3.5
Third
5225
#32
3.60.2
3.43.2
Auto0.9
Teleop2.7
End0.0
blue by 3.8
5046
#40
7.50.1
6.97.0
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsEarned48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed