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Red65
511019.3
360326.5
612214.2
Blue35
977310.4
967315.7
524711.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56362040806535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.51.0
20.521.4
Auto12.1
Teleop12.9
End1.5
red by 10.7
9673
#18
15.70.0
14.114.1
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End2.7
Second
5110
#28
19.31.0
16.717.7
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End3.4
red by 8.3
5247
#23
11.00.0
13.913.9
Auto2.4
Teleop6.6
End2.1
Third
6122
#22
14.21.6
11.413.0
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End1.9
red by 3.8
9773
#26
10.40.0
7.07.0
Auto3.2
Teleop6.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed