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Red32
95414.6
376725.4
553518.0
Blue47
477931.8
95687.9
828616.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404902060801003247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.40.3
16.215.8
Auto7.6
Teleop16.8
End1.0
blue by 6.4
31.80.3
26.726.9
Auto12.3
Teleop17.1
End2.4
Second
5535
#21
18.00.3
14.213.8
Auto5.1
Teleop11.4
End1.5
red by 1.3
8286
#13
16.70.5
9.09.5
Auto7.3
Teleop8.8
End0.5
Third
9541
#34
4.60.6
6.76.1
Auto2.7
Teleop1.7
End0.1
blue by 3.3
9568
#38
7.90.3
7.27.5
Auto4.1
Teleop3.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed