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Red19
69639.3
55607.0
609713.6
Blue56
550411.3
171126.2
779020.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324401001502001956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6097
#24
13.61.3
9.48.1
Auto6.5
Teleop5.8
End1.3
blue by 12.6
26.21.1
19.320.4
Auto7.1
Teleop18.5
End0.6
Second
6963
#16
9.31.3
11.29.9
Auto5.4
Teleop3.2
End0.7
blue by 11.1
7790
#10
20.41.1
13.114.3
Auto9.1
Teleop10.5
End0.8
Third
5560
#32
7.01.3
10.08.7
Auto2.6
Teleop3.5
End1.0
blue by 4.3
5504
#27
11.31.9
6.48.3
Auto3.6
Teleop4.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed