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Red40
60916.9
353710.2
10720.9
Blue56
977112.8
716018.8
498318.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37432030405060704056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#11
20.90.0
14.614.6
Auto8.3
Teleop11.2
End1.4
red by 2.1
18.81.2
16.517.7
Auto6.4
Teleop10.8
End1.6
Second
3537
#36
10.20.0
10.610.6
Auto2.5
Teleop6.4
End1.3
blue by 8.6
18.80.7
12.413.2
Auto7.1
Teleop9.4
End2.3
Third
6091
#40
6.90.0
8.68.7
Auto4.7
Teleop1.7
End0.6
blue by 5.8
9771
#14
12.80.7
9.09.7
Auto3.2
Teleop8.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed