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Red21
86116.8
917619.1
96657.0
Blue19
977310.4
22467.3
780811.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions391801030506070802119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.12.4
16.113.6
Auto8.1
Teleop10.4
End0.6
red by 7.2
7808
#29
11.80.0
5.85.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.1
End2.2
Second
9665
#37
7.02.4
8.05.6
Auto1.5
Teleop4.3
End1.2
blue by 3.4
9773
#26
10.40.0
7.07.0
Auto3.2
Teleop6.7
End0.6
Third
8611
#30
6.82.4
8.66.2
Auto2.5
Teleop2.9
End1.4
blue by 0.6
2246
#35
7.30.0
6.16.1
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed2%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed