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Red49
368824.4
828616.7
608718.9
Blue43
376725.4
715510.6
283419.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524301002003004005006007004943

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3688
#12
24.40.2
22.022.2
Auto10.5
Teleop11.7
End2.2
blue by 0.9
25.40.2
16.016.2
Auto7.6
Teleop16.8
End1.0
Second
6087
#17
18.90.2
15.415.6
Auto8.1
Teleop8.0
End2.8
blue by 0.1
2834
#25
19.00.3
16.116.4
Auto6.1
Teleop11.5
End1.3
Third
8286
#13
16.70.3
8.79.0
Auto7.3
Teleop8.8
End0.5
red by 6.1
7155
#33
10.60.2
7.98.1
Auto2.8
Teleop5.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed