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Red30
95687.9
69639.3
360326.5
Blue64
171126.2
608718.9
716018.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4257020801003064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.50.7
20.720.0
Auto12.1
Teleop12.9
End1.5
red by 0.2
26.20.3
19.920.2
Auto7.1
Teleop18.5
End0.6
Second
6963
#16
9.31.1
10.99.8
Auto5.4
Teleop3.2
End0.7
blue by 9.6
6087
#17
18.90.3
15.215.4
Auto8.1
Teleop8.0
End2.8
Third
9568
#38
7.90.7
8.47.7
Auto4.1
Teleop3.1
End0.6
blue by 11.0
18.80.4
15.015.4
Auto6.4
Teleop10.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed58%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned