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Red37
9047.5
377015.1
10720.9
Blue53
368824.4
612214.2
715510.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4543354050553753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#11
20.91.5
15.413.9
Auto8.3
Teleop11.2
End1.4
blue by 3.5
3688
#12
24.40.8
21.222.0
Auto10.5
Teleop11.7
End2.2
Second
3770
#20
15.11.5
13.712.2
Auto4.4
Teleop9.3
End1.4
red by 0.8
6122
#22
14.21.4
10.411.8
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End1.9
Third
904
#39
7.51.5
11.19.6
Auto1.6
Teleop4.5
End1.4
blue by 3.1
7155
#33
10.60.8
7.17.9
Auto2.8
Teleop5.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned25%Ensemble oddsMissed