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Red71
10720.9
977112.8
977310.4
Blue65
171126.2
553518.0
524711.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315702040801007165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#11
20.91.6
14.616.3
Auto8.3
Teleop11.2
End1.4
blue by 5.3
26.20.8
20.421.2
Auto7.1
Teleop18.5
End0.6
Second
9771
#14
12.81.0
9.710.7
Auto3.2
Teleop8.3
End1.2
blue by 5.2
5535
#21
18.00.8
13.814.6
Auto5.1
Teleop11.4
End1.5
Third
9773
#26
10.41.0
7.07.9
Auto3.2
Teleop6.7
End0.6
blue by 0.6
5247
#23
11.00.8
13.914.7
Auto2.4
Teleop6.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed