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Red70
353710.2
360326.5
498318.8
Blue41
9047.5
511019.3
477931.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49612040801007041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.51.6
21.423.0
Auto12.1
Teleop12.9
End1.5
blue by 5.3
31.80.8
26.926.1
Auto12.3
Teleop17.1
End2.4
Second
18.81.6
13.715.3
Auto7.1
Teleop9.4
End2.3
blue by 0.5
5110
#28
19.30.8
17.716.9
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End3.4
Third
3537
#36
10.21.6
10.612.2
Auto2.5
Teleop6.4
End1.3
red by 2.6
904
#39
7.51.4
9.07.6
Auto1.6
Teleop4.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned48%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed