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Red51
377015.1
78559.6
887325.8
Blue35
283419.0
612214.2
95687.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474202060801001201401605135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.4
21.621.9
Auto8.1
Teleop15.0
End2.8
red by 6.8
2834
#25
19.00.4
17.917.5
Auto6.1
Teleop11.5
End1.3
Second
3770
#20
15.10.6
12.513.1
Auto4.4
Teleop9.3
End1.4
red by 0.8
6122
#22
14.20.4
13.012.7
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End1.9
Third
7855
#31
9.60.4
7.67.9
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End1.7
red by 1.7
9568
#38
7.90.2
7.57.3
Auto4.1
Teleop3.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed