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Red43
609713.6
60916.9
608718.9
Blue40
780811.8
96657.0
553420.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343515202530404550554340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6087
#17
18.90.6
15.716.2
Auto8.1
Teleop8.0
End2.8
blue by 1.5
20.40.6
18.218.8
Auto5.1
Teleop13.7
End1.6
Second
6097
#24
13.60.9
8.19.1
Auto6.5
Teleop5.8
End1.3
red by 1.8
7808
#29
11.80.6
5.96.6
Auto3.5
Teleop6.1
End2.2
Third
6091
#40
6.90.6
8.79.3
Auto4.7
Teleop1.7
End0.6
blue by 0.1
9665
#37
7.01.0
6.57.5
Auto1.5
Teleop4.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed