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Red69
977112.8
780811.8
368824.4
Blue67
353710.2
477931.8
977310.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44522060801006967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3688
#12
24.41.4
23.224.7
Auto10.5
Teleop11.7
End2.2
blue by 7.3
31.81.0
26.127.2
Auto12.3
Teleop17.1
End2.4
Second
9771
#14
12.81.4
10.712.1
Auto3.2
Teleop8.3
End1.2
red by 2.4
9773
#26
10.41.0
7.99.0
Auto3.2
Teleop6.7
End0.6
Third
7808
#29
11.81.4
6.68.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.1
End2.2
red by 1.6
3537
#36
10.21.0
12.213.3
Auto2.5
Teleop6.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed