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Red66
376725.4
977310.4
550411.3
Blue48
715510.6
9047.5
887325.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3945102030506070806648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.41.5
17.519.1
Auto7.6
Teleop16.8
End1.0
blue by 0.5
25.80.5
23.023.5
Auto8.1
Teleop15.0
End2.8
Second
5504
#27
11.32.2
9.111.3
Auto3.6
Teleop4.7
End3.0
red by 0.7
7155
#33
10.60.5
9.510.0
Auto2.8
Teleop5.1
End2.8
Third
9773
#26
10.41.5
9.511.1
Auto3.2
Teleop6.7
End0.6
red by 2.9
904
#39
7.50.8
7.68.4
Auto1.6
Teleop4.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed