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Red40
608718.9
553420.4
977112.8
Blue36
95414.6
498318.8
368824.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5453204060801004036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.40.6
19.318.7
Auto5.1
Teleop13.7
End1.6
blue by 4.0
3688
#12
24.40.8
26.225.4
Auto10.5
Teleop11.7
End2.2
Second
6087
#17
18.90.6
15.915.3
Auto8.1
Teleop8.0
End2.8
red by 0.2
18.80.8
17.216.4
Auto7.1
Teleop9.4
End2.3
Third
9771
#14
12.80.6
13.512.9
Auto3.2
Teleop8.3
End1.2
red by 8.2
9541
#34
4.61.2
4.53.4
Auto2.7
Teleop1.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned49%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed