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Red51
511019.3
553518.0
95687.9
Blue18
86116.8
60916.9
612214.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46310204060805118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5110
#28
19.30.6
17.618.2
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End3.4
red by 5.1
6122
#22
14.21.2
16.415.3
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End1.9
Second
5535
#21
18.00.6
14.815.4
Auto5.1
Teleop11.4
End1.5
red by 11.1
6091
#40
6.90.8
7.26.4
Auto4.7
Teleop1.7
End0.6
Third
9568
#38
7.90.6
7.68.2
Auto4.1
Teleop3.1
End0.6
red by 1.1
8611
#30
6.81.2
6.35.2
Auto2.5
Teleop2.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed