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Red70
360326.5
477931.8
86116.8
Blue59
368824.4
78559.6
10720.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726040801001201407059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.0
31.431.3
Auto12.3
Teleop17.1
End2.4
red by 7.3
3688
#12
24.40.2
25.225.4
Auto10.5
Teleop11.7
End2.2
Second
26.50.0
26.326.2
Auto12.1
Teleop12.9
End1.5
red by 5.5
107
#11
20.90.2
21.221.4
Auto8.3
Teleop11.2
End1.4
Third
8611
#30
6.80.1
6.05.9
Auto2.5
Teleop2.9
End1.4
blue by 2.8
7855
#31
9.60.2
9.69.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsEarned44%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed