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Red49
977112.8
550411.3
967315.7
Blue61
917619.1
95414.6
553420.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394701020306070804961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9673
#18
15.70.8
15.115.9
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End2.7
blue by 4.7
20.40.6
19.320.0
Auto5.1
Teleop13.7
End1.6
Second
9771
#14
12.80.8
11.712.6
Auto3.2
Teleop8.3
End1.2
blue by 6.3
19.10.9
18.219.1
Auto8.1
Teleop10.4
End0.6
Third
5504
#27
11.31.0
9.510.5
Auto3.6
Teleop4.7
End3.0
red by 6.7
9541
#34
4.60.8
3.84.6
Auto2.7
Teleop1.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned