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Red39
715510.6
550411.3
60916.9
Blue45
524711.0
498318.8
86116.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2839010205060703945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5504
#27
11.30.8
10.511.3
Auto3.6
Teleop4.7
End3.0
blue by 7.5
18.80.7
17.117.8
Auto7.1
Teleop9.4
End2.3
Second
7155
#33
10.60.7
9.610.3
Auto2.8
Teleop5.1
End2.8
blue by 0.4
5247
#23
11.00.7
10.911.6
Auto2.4
Teleop6.6
End2.1
Third
6091
#40
6.90.7
6.26.9
Auto4.7
Teleop1.7
End0.6
red by 0.2
8611
#30
6.80.8
5.96.8
Auto2.5
Teleop2.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed