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Red43
977112.8
353710.2
283419.0
Blue29
96657.0
967315.7
78559.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47350204060804329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#25
19.00.1
19.319.4
Auto6.1
Teleop11.5
End1.3
red by 3.3
9673
#18
15.70.3
15.915.7
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End2.7
Second
9771
#14
12.80.1
12.612.7
Auto3.2
Teleop8.3
End1.2
red by 3.2
7855
#31
9.60.3
9.89.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End1.7
Third
3537
#36
10.20.1
9.59.6
Auto2.5
Teleop6.4
End1.3
red by 3.1
9665
#37
7.00.3
7.37.0
Auto1.5
Teleop4.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed