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Red52
804112.2
612214.2
550411.3
Blue17
95414.6
95687.9
977112.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312701020405060705217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6122
#22
14.20.3
11.811.4
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End1.9
red by 1.5
9771
#14
12.80.5
9.59.0
Auto3.2
Teleop8.3
End1.2
Second
8041
#15
12.20.2
9.49.2
Auto4.2
Teleop7.6
End0.3
red by 4.3
9568
#38
7.90.5
7.77.2
Auto4.1
Teleop3.1
End0.6
Third
5504
#27
11.30.3
6.76.4
Auto3.6
Teleop4.7
End3.0
red by 6.7
9541
#34
4.60.9
7.66.7
Auto2.7
Teleop1.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed