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Red34
353710.2
377015.1
609713.6
Blue54
967315.7
10720.9
360326.5
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325602040801003454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3770
#20
15.10.2
12.212.4
Auto4.4
Teleop9.3
End1.4
blue by 11.4
26.50.4
20.020.5
Auto12.1
Teleop12.9
End1.5
Second
6097
#24
13.60.2
9.29.4
Auto6.5
Teleop5.8
End1.3
blue by 7.3
107
#11
20.90.7
13.914.6
Auto8.3
Teleop11.2
End1.4
Third
3537
#36
10.20.1
10.510.6
Auto2.5
Teleop6.4
End1.3
blue by 5.6
9673
#18
15.70.4
13.714.1
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed