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Red89
377015.1
171126.2
376725.4
Blue64
553518.0
511019.3
498318.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696040801001208964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.6
24.625.2
Auto7.1
Teleop18.5
End0.6
red by 6.9
5110
#28
19.30.2
19.119.3
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End3.4
Second
25.40.6
23.724.3
Auto7.6
Teleop16.8
End1.0
red by 6.6
18.80.2
18.618.8
Auto7.1
Teleop9.4
End2.3
Third
3770
#20
15.10.7
13.213.9
Auto4.4
Teleop9.3
End1.4
blue by 2.9
5535
#21
18.00.2
17.818.0
Auto5.1
Teleop11.4
End1.5