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Red56
780811.8
716018.8
368824.4
Blue72
779020.4
608718.9
828616.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61600501001502005672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3688
#12
24.40.0
24.424.4
Auto10.5
Teleop11.7
End2.2
red by 4.0
7790
#10
20.40.4
19.920.3
Auto9.1
Teleop10.5
End0.8
Second
18.80.0
18.818.8
Auto6.4
Teleop10.8
End1.6
blue by 0.1
6087
#17
18.90.4
18.418.8
Auto8.1
Teleop8.0
End2.8
Third
7808
#29
11.80.0
11.811.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.1
End2.2
blue by 4.9
8286
#13
16.70.4
16.116.5
Auto7.3
Teleop8.8
End0.5