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Red76
353710.2
553420.4
887325.8
Blue65
779020.4
608718.9
828616.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61562040801001207665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.4
25.325.6
Auto8.1
Teleop15.0
End2.8
red by 5.4
7790
#10
20.40.3
19.019.3
Auto9.1
Teleop10.5
End0.8
Second
20.40.4
19.820.2
Auto5.1
Teleop13.7
End1.6
red by 1.5
6087
#17
18.90.3
17.517.8
Auto8.1
Teleop8.0
End2.8
Third
3537
#36
10.20.4
9.610.0
Auto2.5
Teleop6.4
End1.3
blue by 6.5
8286
#13
16.70.3
15.115.4
Auto7.3
Teleop8.8
End0.5