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Red37
967315.7
977112.8
804112.2
Blue93
553518.0
511019.3
498318.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436320801003793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9673
#18
15.70.1
15.815.7
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End2.7
blue by 3.6
5110
#28
19.30.4
18.719.1
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End3.4
Second
9771
#14
12.80.1
12.812.8
Auto3.2
Teleop8.3
End1.2
blue by 6.0
18.80.4
18.218.6
Auto7.1
Teleop9.4
End2.3
Third
8041
#15
12.20.1
12.212.2
Auto4.2
Teleop7.6
End0.3
blue by 5.8
5535
#21
18.00.4
17.417.8
Auto5.1
Teleop11.4
End1.5