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Red80
828616.7
608718.9
779020.4
Blue56
10720.9
283419.0
917619.1
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576730405080901008056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7790
#10
20.40.6
19.319.9
Auto9.1
Teleop10.5
End0.8
blue by 0.5
107
#11
20.90.1
21.020.9
Auto8.3
Teleop11.2
End1.4
Second
6087
#17
18.90.6
17.818.4
Auto8.1
Teleop8.0
End2.8
blue by 0.1
19.10.1
19.119.1
Auto8.1
Teleop10.4
End0.6
Third
8286
#13
16.70.7
15.416.1
Auto7.3
Teleop8.8
End0.5
blue by 2.4
2834
#25
19.00.1
19.119.0
Auto6.1
Teleop11.5
End1.3