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Red49
335735.5
524811.7
60947.8
Blue85
609033.3
295927.9
34588.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49592040801004985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.50.2
29.129.3
Auto10.8
Teleop21.5
End3.2
red by 2.2
33.31.2
23.524.7
Auto14.1
Teleop17.0
End2.3
Second
5248
#29
11.70.2
7.98.1
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End2.3
blue by 16.1
27.91.3
19.320.6
Auto8.8
Teleop16.9
End2.2
Third
6094
#40
7.80.2
8.89.0
Auto3.5
Teleop4.2
End0.2
blue by 0.9
3458
#27
8.71.2
9.210.4
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed