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Red85
276739.5
567527.6
561018.7
Blue52
687712.9
92484.6
357232.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8438020601001208552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.50.3
33.533.8
Auto13.2
Teleop21.1
End5.1
red by 6.9
32.60.8
27.428.2
Auto14.7
Teleop15.1
End2.8
Second
27.60.3
22.923.2
Auto12.3
Teleop14.8
End0.5
red by 14.7
6877
#15
12.90.8
6.06.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End2.1
Third
5610
#23
18.70.3
13.914.2
Auto7.0
Teleop8.2
End3.5
red by 14.1
9248
#37
4.60.8
6.27.0
Auto2.4
Teleop1.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsMissed