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Red35
60947.8
400317.3
214520.4
Blue56
687712.9
598011.6
609033.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47493540455055603556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2145
#24
20.41.2
18.217.0
Auto7.0
Teleop12.0
End1.4
blue by 12.9
33.30.8
25.926.7
Auto14.1
Teleop17.0
End2.3
Second
4003
#22
17.31.2
15.714.5
Auto4.3
Teleop10.0
End3.1
red by 4.4
6877
#15
12.90.8
7.88.6
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End2.1
Third
6094
#40
7.81.2
9.17.9
Auto3.5
Teleop4.2
End0.2
blue by 3.7
5980
#33
11.60.8
10.110.9
Auto3.3
Teleop6.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed