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Red38
21627.7
547010.5
92484.6
Blue66
592723.0
611418.4
612123.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395720801003866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216
#12
27.70.3
21.521.2
Auto5.2
Teleop19.6
End2.8
red by 4.6
5927
#16
23.00.8
18.519.3
Auto9.7
Teleop12.7
End0.6
Second
5470
#35
10.50.3
8.98.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End2.8
blue by 12.5
6121
#13
23.00.8
19.420.2
Auto7.5
Teleop12.6
End2.9
Third
9248
#37
4.60.3
7.16.8
Auto2.4
Teleop1.4
End0.7
blue by 13.8
6114
#20
18.41.3
11.112.4
Auto6.8
Teleop10.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed49%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed