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Red38
705413.2
92057.4
24421.3
Blue60
567527.6
600222.5
92067.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions226604060801003860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#25
21.30.8
10.111.0
Auto4.9
Teleop14.1
End2.3
blue by 6.4
27.60.1
23.723.7
Auto12.3
Teleop14.8
End0.5
Second
7054
#31
13.20.8
9.110.0
Auto7.0
Teleop4.9
End1.4
blue by 9.3
6002
#10
22.50.1
20.420.4
Auto7.4
Teleop10.6
End4.4
Third
9205
#41
7.40.8
6.06.9
Auto4.7
Teleop2.1
End0.6
blue by 0.5
9206
#39
7.90.1
10.210.3
Auto4.4
Teleop3.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed