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Red53
611418.4
295927.9
547010.5
Blue72
598011.6
276739.5
60947.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions456202040801005372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.3
21.321.0
Auto8.8
Teleop16.9
End2.2
blue by 11.6
39.51.2
34.936.1
Auto13.2
Teleop21.1
End5.1
Second
6114
#20
18.40.5
12.412.0
Auto6.8
Teleop10.4
End1.2
red by 6.8
5980
#33
11.61.2
10.912.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.4
End1.8
Third
5470
#35
10.50.3
8.68.3
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End2.8
red by 2.7
6094
#40
7.81.2
7.99.1
Auto3.5
Teleop4.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned49%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed