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Red46
92484.6
72488.0
8533.0
Blue58
721124.7
972112.6
485518.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435002060804658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#2
33.00.1
28.128.2
Auto13.3
Teleop17.7
End2.1
red by 8.3
24.70.6
19.420.0
Auto7.5
Teleop14.0
End3.2
Second
7248
#42
8.00.1
5.25.3
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End-0.1
blue by 10.8
4855
#11
18.70.6
14.715.3
Auto7.7
Teleop8.1
End2.9
Third
9248
#37
4.60.1
6.86.9
Auto2.4
Teleop1.4
End0.7
blue by 8.0
9721
#26
12.61.0
10.211.1
Auto7.7
Teleop3.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed