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Red36
24421.3
592723.0
214520.4
Blue70
609033.3
92236.9
335735.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4974204060801001203670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5927
#16
23.00.8
19.318.6
Auto9.7
Teleop12.7
End0.6
blue by 12.4
35.50.4
30.430.8
Auto10.8
Teleop21.5
End3.2
Second
244
#25
21.30.8
11.010.2
Auto4.9
Teleop14.1
End2.3
blue by 12.0
33.30.4
26.727.1
Auto14.1
Teleop17.0
End2.3
Third
2145
#24
20.40.8
17.016.2
Auto7.0
Teleop12.0
End1.4
red by 13.5
9223
#36
6.90.4
6.77.1
Auto1.7
Teleop3.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsMissed