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Red71
354628.7
861111.9
7424.0
Blue44
357232.6
92067.9
92057.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565001001502007144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.5
19.920.4
Auto10.3
Teleop15.2
End3.2
blue by 3.8
32.60.5
28.728.2
Auto14.7
Teleop15.1
End2.8
Second
74
#18
24.00.5
21.822.3
Auto8.8
Teleop13.3
End1.9
red by 16.0
9206
#39
7.90.8
10.39.5
Auto4.4
Teleop3.0
End0.5
Third
8611
#28
11.90.5
8.18.6
Auto4.1
Teleop6.0
End1.8
red by 4.5
9205
#41
7.40.5
6.96.4
Auto4.7
Teleop2.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed