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Red67
524811.7
21627.7
567527.6
Blue61
561018.7
600222.5
705413.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions604902040801006761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216
#12
27.70.9
21.222.1
Auto5.2
Teleop19.6
End2.8
red by 5.2
6002
#10
22.51.0
20.421.4
Auto7.4
Teleop10.6
End4.4
Second
27.60.9
23.724.7
Auto12.3
Teleop14.8
End0.5
red by 8.9
5610
#23
18.71.0
15.216.2
Auto7.0
Teleop8.2
End3.5
Third
5248
#29
11.70.9
8.19.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End2.3
blue by 1.5
7054
#31
13.21.0
10.011.0
Auto7.0
Teleop4.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsEarned