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Red59
14118.0
642810.6
21627.7
Blue78
24421.3
357232.6
611418.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506130407080901005978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216
#12
27.70.8
23.123.9
Auto5.2
Teleop19.6
End2.8
blue by 4.9
32.61.6
29.230.9
Auto14.7
Teleop15.1
End2.8
Second
141
#19
18.00.8
14.415.2
Auto7.2
Teleop8.7
End2.2
blue by 3.2
244
#25
21.31.6
11.713.3
Auto4.9
Teleop14.1
End2.3
Third
6428
#38
10.60.8
9.210.0
Auto3.8
Teleop4.6
End2.3
blue by 7.8
6114
#20
18.42.7
12.615.4
Auto6.8
Teleop10.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned61%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed