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Red50
524811.7
561018.7
861111.9
Blue54
972112.6
92057.4
295927.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374602060801005054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5610
#23
18.70.7
16.617.3
Auto7.0
Teleop8.2
End3.5
blue by 9.2
27.90.9
21.021.9
Auto8.8
Teleop16.9
End2.2
Second
8611
#28
11.90.7
9.610.2
Auto4.1
Teleop6.0
End1.8
blue by 0.6
9721
#26
12.61.5
12.714.2
Auto7.7
Teleop3.5
End1.4
Third
5248
#29
11.70.7
8.69.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End2.3
red by 4.3
9205
#41
7.40.9
6.77.6
Auto4.7
Teleop2.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed