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Red81
609033.3
861111.9
612123.0
Blue22
92067.9
561018.7
598011.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions693902060801001208122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.30.8
27.127.9
Auto14.1
Teleop17.0
End2.3
red by 14.6
5610
#23
18.71.1
17.316.2
Auto7.0
Teleop8.2
End3.5
Second
6121
#13
23.00.8
21.222.0
Auto7.5
Teleop12.6
End2.9
red by 11.4
5980
#33
11.61.1
12.911.8
Auto3.3
Teleop6.4
End1.8
Third
8611
#28
11.90.8
10.211.1
Auto4.1
Teleop6.0
End1.8
red by 4.0
9206
#39
7.91.9
8.76.9
Auto4.4
Teleop3.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
52%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed