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Red43
92236.9
524811.7
24421.3
Blue57
72488.0
295927.9
485518.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30520204060801004357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#25
21.30.9
13.314.2
Auto4.9
Teleop14.1
End2.3
blue by 6.6
27.90.2
21.922.1
Auto8.8
Teleop16.9
End2.2
Second
5248
#29
11.70.9
9.310.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End2.3
blue by 7.0
4855
#11
18.70.2
17.517.7
Auto7.7
Teleop8.1
End2.9
Third
9223
#36
6.90.9
6.87.7
Auto1.7
Teleop3.9
End1.2
blue by 1.0
7248
#42
8.00.3
4.54.9
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed55%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed