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Red45
612123.0
547010.5
60947.8
Blue64
600222.5
72488.0
21627.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436120801004564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6121
#13
23.00.1
22.222.1
Auto7.5
Teleop12.6
End2.9
blue by 4.7
216
#12
27.70.7
24.925.7
Auto5.2
Teleop19.6
End2.8
Second
5470
#35
10.50.1
9.59.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End2.8
blue by 12.0
6002
#10
22.50.7
23.223.9
Auto7.4
Teleop10.6
End4.4
Third
6094
#40
7.80.1
9.29.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.2
End0.2
blue by 0.1
7248
#42
8.01.0
5.26.2
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed