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Red41
400317.3
92484.6
295927.9
Blue53
7424.0
705413.2
687712.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5250203040607080901004153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.7
25.324.5
Auto8.8
Teleop16.9
End2.2
red by 3.9
74
#18
24.00.2
21.922.0
Auto8.8
Teleop13.3
End1.9
Second
4003
#22
17.30.7
16.515.8
Auto4.3
Teleop10.0
End3.1
red by 4.1
7054
#31
13.20.2
13.213.4
Auto7.0
Teleop4.9
End1.4
Third
9248
#37
4.60.7
5.44.7
Auto2.4
Teleop1.4
End0.7
blue by 8.3
6877
#15
12.90.2
10.610.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed