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Red74
28820.4
524811.7
276739.5
Blue90
214520.4
485518.7
357232.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7679506070901001101207490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.50.3
37.938.2
Auto13.2
Teleop21.1
End5.1
red by 6.9
32.60.3
32.432.7
Auto14.7
Teleop15.1
End2.8
Second
288
#21
20.40.3
20.220.5
Auto6.3
Teleop11.8
End2.3
Level
2145
#24
20.40.3
20.320.5
Auto7.0
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Third
5248
#29
11.70.3
11.211.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End2.3
blue by 7.0
4855
#11
18.70.3
18.318.6
Auto7.7
Teleop8.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned75%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned33%Ensemble oddsEarned