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Red22
612123.0
687712.9
92057.4
Blue34
323416.5
705413.2
547010.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473902060801001202234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6121
#13
23.01.3
22.120.8
Auto7.5
Teleop12.6
End2.9
red by 6.5
3234
#32
16.50.4
13.413.0
Auto7.1
Teleop7.4
End1.9
Second
6877
#15
12.91.3
10.89.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End2.1
blue by 0.3
7054
#31
13.20.3
13.413.1
Auto7.0
Teleop4.9
End1.4
Third
9205
#41
7.41.3
9.07.7
Auto4.7
Teleop2.1
End0.6
blue by 3.1
5470
#35
10.50.3
9.49.2
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed